Shapley Page 6
OTA, The effects of nuclear war
| WORLDWIDE FALLOUT HEALTH EFFECTS |
| |
Tropos |
Stratos |
C-14 |
Total |
| Cancer
Deaths (DEF=1) |
360,100 |
1,543,000 |
2,886,000 |
4,789,000 |
| Cancer
Deaths (DEF=0.2) |
72,000 |
308,600 |
577,200 |
957,800 |
| Thyroid
Cancers |
606,800 |
1,206,000 |
1,570,000 |
3,383,800 |
| Thyroid
Nodules |
893,200 |
1,776,000 |
2,311,000 |
4,980,000 |
| Spontaneous
Abortions |
49,700 |
188,200 |
736,500 |
974,400 |
| Other
Genetic Effects |
156,700 |
590,800 |
2,324,000 |
3,072,000 |
| |
| TOTAL LATENT HEALTH EFFECTS |
| |
PFs=5 |
PFs=10 |
PFs=40 |
Mixed
PFs |
| Additional
Shelter Fatalities |
21,712,000 |
9,441,000 |
327,200 |
--- |
| Cancer
Deaths (DEF=1) |
7,226,000 |
6,968,000 |
5,922,000,000 |
6,640,000 |
| Cancer
Deaths (DEF=0.2) |
3,326,000 |
3,056,000 |
1,997,000 |
2,680,000 |
| Thyroid
Cancers |
5,036,000 |
4,836,000 |
4,084,000 |
4,580,000 |
| Thyroid
Nodules |
7,413,000 |
7,119,000 |
6,011,000 |
6,730,000 |
| Spontaneous
Abortions |
1,494,000 |
1,433,000 |
1,200,000 |
1,360,000 |
| Other
Genetic Effects |
4,711,000 |
4,515,000 |
3,783,000 |
4,270,000 |
| |
| TOTAL LATENT HEALTH EFFECTS OUTSIDE OF THE U.S. |
| |
DEF=1 |
DEF=0.2 |
| Cancer deaths |
4,545,000 |
909,000 |
| Thyroid cancers |
3,254,000 |
|
| Thyroid nodules |
4,549,000 |
|
| Spontaneous abortions |
926,000 |
|
| Other genetic effects |
2,919,000 |
|
OTA, The effect of nuclear war